Keno Live — Draw Odds, Pay Tables and a Return Calculator
Exact probabilities for every keno ticket, a calculator that turns any pay table into a house-edge figure, and a practice board for trying it without staking anything.
Advertising disclosure. MapleBird is an independent guide. The “Get the App” links on this page are affiliate links and may earn us a commission. That costs you nothing and does not influence how we rank, rate or explain anything.
How the live draw works
Eighty numbered balls, twenty drawn at random each round. You pick between one and ten numbers before the draw closes, and you are paid according to how many of your picks appear. Because the draw structure never varies, the probability of every outcome is fixed and computable — which means the pay table is the only thing separating a good version of this game from a bad one.
Mostbet runs several variants in its Lotteries tab: Keno, Keno 8 on a one-minute cycle, Keno Fast, and 80-ball versions. They differ in draw frequency and pay table, not in the underlying mathematics. Everything on this page applies to all of them, and to the game anywhere else.
Odds and pay table calculator
Probabilities below are exact. Payout multipliers are yours to enter — copy them from the pay table of the game you are actually playing, and the calculator returns its theoretical return and house edge. The 10-spot column is pre-filled with a commonly published reference ladder purely as a worked example; it is not Mostbet’s pay table and should be overwritten.
Draw simulator
A practice board with its own random draws. It is not connected to any casino and no result here reflects a real keno round.
Select up to 10 numbers, then draw.
Return for your pay table
- Theoretical return
- —
- House edge
- —
| Result | Odds | Probability | Pays (×stake) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enable JavaScript to use the calculator. The fixed odds tables below work without it. | |||
A theoretical return of 75% means a house edge of 25% — for every C$100 staked over the long run, C$25 is expected to stay with the house. This game is priced far above the tables; that is the trade for the size of the top prize.
Fixed odds — the 10-spot ticket
These figures are computed from the hypergeometric distribution for twenty balls drawn from eighty. They are the same in every 80-ball version of the game and they never change, whatever the pay table says.
| Numbers matched | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | 0.00001122% | 1 in 8,911,711 |
| 9 of 10 | 0.000612% | 1 in 163,381 |
| 8 of 10 | 0.01354% | 1 in 7,384 |
| 7 of 10 | 0.16111% | 1 in 621 |
| 6 of 10 | 1.15% | 1 in 87 |
| 5 of 10 | 5.14% | 1 in 19 |
| 4 of 10 | 14.73% | 1 in 6.79 |
| 3 of 10 | 26.74% | 1 in 3.74 |
| 2 of 10 | 29.53% | 1 in 3.39 |
| 1 of 10 | 17.96% | 1 in 5.57 |
| 0 of 10 | 4.58% | 1 in 22 |
How the spot count changes the shape
| Ticket | Odds of hitting every pick | Chance of hitting half | Chance of hitting nothing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 spots | 1 in 326 | 21.26% | 30.83% |
| 6 spots | 1 in 7,753 | 12.98% | 16.66% |
| 8 spots | 1 in 230,115 | 8.15% | 8.83% |
| 10 spots | 1 in 8,911,711 | 5.14% | 4.58% |
Six-spot and four-spot reference
| Matched | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 6 of 6 | 0.01290% | 1 in 7,753 |
| 5 of 6 | 0.30956% | 1 in 323 |
| 4 of 6 | 2.85% | 1 in 35 |
| 3 of 6 | 12.98% | 1 in 7.70 |
| 2 of 6 | 30.83% | 1 in 3.24 |
| 1 of 6 | 36.35% | 1 in 2.75 |
| 0 of 6 | 16.66% | 1 in 6.00 |
| Matched | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 4 of 4 | 0.30634% | 1 in 326 |
| 3 of 4 | 4.32% | 1 in 23 |
| 2 of 4 | 21.26% | 1 in 4.70 |
| 1 of 4 | 43.27% | 1 in 2.31 |
| 0 of 4 | 30.83% | 1 in 3.24 |
Reading a live results feed
The in-game results panel is the archive that matters, and it is the only one worth trusting: it is generated by the game server, timestamped, and tied to a round identifier you can quote in a support ticket. MapleBird does not republish draw results, because a third-party copy of a feed is unverifiable by definition and worth nothing if you ever need to dispute a round.
Always note it
Every round has a unique identifier shown beside the draw. If a result is ever disputed, that number is what a support team searches on. Screenshots without it are much harder to act on.
Recent rounds panel
Most variants show the last twenty to fifty draws. It is genuinely useful for confirming a result you missed — and genuinely useless for predicting the next one, since draws are independent.
Check it per game
Two games in the same lobby can pay very differently for the same eight-of-ten result. Open the pay table, put the numbers into the calculator above, and you will know which is cheaper before you stake anything.
